BlackBerry currently holds 4.3% global marketshare, according to data from last year by the IDC. This will likely only increase to 5% in three years, claims Gartner analyst.

“Although BB10 presents a modernized new platform based on touch technology, market conditions will make it extremely difficult for BlackBerry to rise above iOS, Android and Windows Phone 8 platforms. In fact, Gartner predicts that through 2016, BlackBerry will achieve less than 5 percent worldwide smartphone market share,” said Van Baker, Gartner research vice president.

In Baker’s research note, he emphasizes three key impacts and recommendations for organizations looking into the BlackBerry 10 platform.

Do you believe it will take three years for BlackBerry to gain 0.7% of the global marketshare? Let us know in the comments what you think of this Gartner analyst’s research findings.